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Lagun Onak vs Santutxu FC

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Lagun Onak and Santutxu FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lagun Onak
33%
Draws
27%
Santutxu FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lagun Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagun Onak come out ahead of Santutxu FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lagun Onak taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 68%
Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Santutxu FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Santutxu FC
2:2
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Lagun Onak
2:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Lagun Onak
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Santutxu FC
1:1
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Lagun Onak
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 50 / 100
Santutxu FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Santutxu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santutxu FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Lagun Onak found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lagun Onak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
17 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 0
Derio
09 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Eibar C
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 7

Santutxu FC

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 3
Leioa
13 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 3
Santutxu FC
09 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
02 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alaves B382113472:3176
2Beasain381913665:3670
3Portugalete381913660:3370
4Barakaldo38209964:4669
5Basconia381811945:3265
6CD Vitoria3816111155:4959
7San Ignacio381771457:4858
8SCD Durango381318742:2957
9Leioa3815111255:3856
10Anaitasuna FT3814101448:4952
11Lagun Onak3813121342:4451
12Pasaia3813111436:4350
13SD Deusto3811161142:4049
14Urduliz FT381291739:5745
15Aurrera Ondarroa381082036:5538
16Santutxu FC388141642:6038
17Uritarra381082038:5238
18Amurrio Club388131739:4537
19Beti Gazte38682434:8026
20Tolosa38752643:8726
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)