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Lagunak vs Alesves

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pascal D.
29' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

Lagunak in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagunak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lagunak
20%
Draws
0%
Alesves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagunak lately — more wins on the board than Alesves.
  • Lagunak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lagunak have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%
Alesves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagunak Alesves
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Alesves
2:0
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Lagunak
0:1
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Lagunak
0:0
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Alesves
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagunak Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascal D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Alesves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagunak 95 / 100
Alesves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagunak Alesves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alesves let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Alesves lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lagunak found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lagunak VS Alesves
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagunak

(Home)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
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Alesves

(Away)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)