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Lahden Reipas vs HPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Lahden kisapuisto
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Heiskanen L.
34' Event
Helttunen O.
37' Event
Helttunen O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kakkonen Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lahden Reipas
20%
Draws
38%
HPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lahden Reipas lately — more wins on the board than HPS.
  • Win probability leans Lahden Reipas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahden Reipas HPS
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Lahden Reipas
3:2
Apr 24, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs HPS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Helttunen O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiskanen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Apajalahti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahden Reipas 40 / 100
HPS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahden Reipas HPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahden Reipas found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

HPS has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Lahden Reipas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahden Reipas VS HPS
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kiffen1281329:2125
2HIFK1373327:1524
3PEPO1264220:1622
4HPS1262423:1920
5Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)1347225:1919
6Lahden Reipas1252525:2117
7Atlantis1251634:2816
8PuiU Helsinki1232714:2511
9MyPa1232712:2311
10Union Plaani1212911:335