Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lahti vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Lahti Logo

Lahti

2 - 0
FT
Jaro Logo

Jaro

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sarr M.
Assist: Sans R.
43'
Montiel C.
46'
Sub
Brunell J. In: Ogungbaro M.
Out: Brunell J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between Lahti and Jaro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lahti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lahti
15%
Draws
0%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lahti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lahti a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lahti Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti Jaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Jaro
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Lahti
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Jaro
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Lahti
2:0
Oct 18, 2015 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Lahti
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ojanen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti 85 / 100
Jaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaro conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Jaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lahti found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lahti VS Jaro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti

(Home)
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0
Lahti
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)