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Lajong vs Indian Navy

India India

Durand Cup 2025 Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Shillong, Meghalaya
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Marandi V.
69' Event
Lyngdoh D.
80' Event
Mylliempdah E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lajong in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lajong
15%
Draws
32%
Indian Navy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lajong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lajong lately — more wins on the board than Indian Navy.
  • Win probability leans Lajong's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lajong have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lajong, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lajong Clean Sheet 20%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajong Indian Navy
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 14 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Durand Cup
Lajong vs Indian Navy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajong Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyngdoh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Indian Navy Compare

Top Goalscorer Marandi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajong 85 / 100
Indian Navy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajong Indian Navy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lajong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Indian Navy conceded in 87% of 23 recent games.

Lajong's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lajong stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lajong VS Indian Navy
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajong

(Home)
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
13 Aug
Lajong
3 : 3
Langsning
08 Aug
Lajong
5 : 0
Mumbay FC
31 Jul
Lajong
2 : 0
Nongkseh
23 May
Diamond Harbour
0 : 3
Lajong
Page 1 of 6

Indian Navy

(Away)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0
Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1
Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2
Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lajong 2
Indian Navy 1
Bodoland FC 0
North East United 4
Jamshedpur 0
Diamond Harbour 2
Mohun Bagan 1
East Bengal 2
Semi-finals
Lajong 0
North East United 1
Diamond Harbour 2
East Bengal 1
Final
North East United 6
Diamond Harbour 1