Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lamezia Terme vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mincica S.
41' Event
Palermo M.
55' Event
Carbonaro P.

AI Match Summary

Lamezia Terme in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lamezia Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lamezia Terme
20%
Draws
38%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lamezia Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to S. Agata lately — more wins on the board than Lamezia Terme.
  • Win probability leans Lamezia Terme's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Lamezia Terme Clean Sheet 20%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamezia Terme S. Agata
Matches Played 5 38
Wins 1 11
Draws 1 12
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Lamezia Terme
0:0
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs S. Agata
4:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Lamezia Terme
3:4
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs S. Agata
2:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs S. Agata
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamezia Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Palermo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carbonaro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Mincica S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamezia Terme 42 / 100
S. Agata 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamezia Terme S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lamezia Terme scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Lamezia Terme went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS S. Agata
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamezia Terme

(Home)
15 Nov
Angri
:
Lamezia Terme
01 Nov
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
S. Agata
29 Oct
Nuova Gioiese
0 : 0
Lamezia Terme
25 Oct
Reggina
3 : 0
Lamezia Terme
15 Oct
Portici 1906
2 : 1
Lamezia Terme

S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)