Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lamia vs Tilikratis Lefkada

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 Athanasios Diakos Stadium, Lamia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lamia
35%
Draws
26%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lamia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tilikratis Lefkada haven't matched Lamia's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lamia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Lamia Clean Sheet 68%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamia Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 15 11
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Lamia
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lamia vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Lamia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamia 41 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamia Tilikratis Lefkada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lamia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lamia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Tilikratis Lefkada let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lamia VS Tilikratis Lefkada
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamia

(Home)
08 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Lamia
05 Apr
Lamia
1 : 1
Elassona
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
Lamia
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
Page 1 of 6

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Away)
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Tilikratis Lefkada
1 : 1
AO Trikala
22 Mar
Elassona
1 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)