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Lansing City vs Union FC Macomb

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lansing City play Union FC Macomb in the USL League Two 2025. Union FC Macomb are favorites here. Recently, Lansing City averaged 0.97 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. Union FC Macomb averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, Lansing City won 2, Union FC Macomb won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 23, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Lansing City and 2.75 for Union FC Macomb. This points to a Union FC Macomb double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Lansing City
15%
Draws
66%
Union FC Macomb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union FC Macomb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Lansing City picked up more points recently compared to Union FC Macomb.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lansing City Clean Sheet 10%
Union FC Macomb Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lansing City Union FC Macomb
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Lansing City
2:3
Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
Lansing City vs Union FC Macomb
2:5
Jun 3, 2025 USL League Two
Lansing City vs Union FC Macomb
1:2
Jul 6, 2024 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Lansing City
3:2
May 28, 2024 USL League Two
Lansing City vs Union FC Macomb
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lansing City 19 / 100
Union FC Macomb 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lansing City Union FC Macomb

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union FC Macomb Win (2)
Secondary Pick Union FC Macomb & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lansing City attacking → ← attacking Union FC Macomb

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lansing City scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Union FC Macomb let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lansing City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Union FC Macomb lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38