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Lanus vs Cienciano

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Sudamericana. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cienciano have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Lanus have conceded 1.43 and scored 0.29. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.90 - 1.34) back Cienciano to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lanus
44%
Draws
20%
Cienciano
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanus haven't matched Cienciano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Cienciano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lanus Clean Sheet 18%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus Cienciano
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 36 / 100
Cienciano 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus Cienciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cienciano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lanus scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lanus remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Cienciano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Cienciano
0.29 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1
Lanus
26 May
Lanus
1 : 0
Mirassol
21 May
LDU Quito
2 : 0
Lanus
10 May
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 0
Lanus
06 May
Always Ready
4 : 0
Lanus
Page 1 of 6

Cienciano

(Away)
18 Jul
Cienciano
1 : 3
FBC Melgar
10 Jul
Cienciano
2 : 3
AD Tarma
28 Jun
Cusco
1 : 2
Cienciano
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
13 Jun
Binacional
0 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors-
O Higgins-
TBD-
Recoleta-
Bolivar-
Gremio-
TBD-
Sao Paulo-
Santa Fe-
Caracas-
TBD-
River Plate-
Ind. Medellin-
Vasco-
TBD-
Olimpia Asuncion-
Sporting Cristal-
Bragantino-
TBD-
Atletico-MG-
Universidad Central-
Santos-
TBD-
Macara-
Club Nacional-
Tigre-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
Lanus-
Cienciano-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
1/8-finals
TBD-
Recoleta-
TBD-
Sao Paulo-
TBD-
River Plate-
TBD-
Olimpia Asuncion-
TBD-
Atletico-MG-
TBD-
Macara-
TBD-
Montevideo City-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-