Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús

Lanus

1 - 0

Mirassol

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Medina A.

Assist: Bou W.

34'

Cardozo A.

45'

Perez G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Lanus

30%

Draws

37%

Mirassol

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Lanus carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Lanus a 42% chance of winning this.
Lanus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lanus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Lanus Clean Sheet 20%

Mirassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lanus	Mirassol
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	13	12
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.06	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Lanus vs Mirassol

1:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Mirassol vs Lanus

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 42 / 100

Mirassol 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lanus Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mirassol conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Lanus scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Lanus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Mirassol

1.25 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)

14 Sept

Deportivo Riestra

0 : 3

Lanus

06 Sept

Lanus

1 : 0

Defensa y Justicia

29 Aug

Boca Juniors

1 : 0

Lanus

25 Aug

Lanus

1 : 1

Argentinos Jrs

17 Aug

Lanus

1 : 3

Independiente

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Mirassol

(Away)

19 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 0

Botafogo RJ

13 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 2

Vitoria

06 Sept

Coritiba

1 : 2

Mirassol

02 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 0

Mirassol

30 Aug

Mirassol

1 : 1

Palmeiras

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