Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús

Lanus

1 - 0

Mirassol

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Medina A.

Assist: Bou W.

34'

Cardozo A.

45'

Perez G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Lanus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lanus

40%

Draws

29%

Mirassol

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Lanus carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Lanus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lanus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Lanus Clean Sheet 18%

Mirassol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lanus	Mirassol
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	0.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Lanus vs Mirassol

1:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Mirassol vs Lanus

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 32 / 100

Mirassol 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lanus Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mirassol conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Lanus scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Lanus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Mirassol

0.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)

30 May

Instituto

2 : 1

Lanus

26 May

Lanus

1 : 0

Mirassol

21 May

LDU Quito

2 : 0

Lanus

10 May

Argentinos Jrs

2 : 0

Lanus

06 May

Always Ready

4 : 0

Lanus

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Mirassol

(Away)

17 Jul

Mirassol

2 : 1

Gremio

30 May

Athletico-PR

1 : 0

Mirassol

26 May

Lanus

1 : 0

Mirassol

23 May

Mirassol

1 : 0

Fluminense

20 May

Always Ready

1 : 2

Mirassol

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