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Laos vs Vietnam

Asia Asia

Asian Cup New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Nguyen Van Vi In: Pham Tuan Hai
Out: Nguyen Van Vi
46'
Sub
Le Van Do In: Nguyen Hai Long
Out: Le Van Do
46'
Sub
Le Pham Thanh Long In: Pham Gia Hung
Out: Le Pham Thanh Long

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Laos
15%
Draws
69%
Vietnam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Very High Confidence
  • Vietnam have won more games recently than Laos.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Vietnam taking it.
  • Vietnam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vietnam have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Vietnam
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 26
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 1
Goals Scored 0.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 3.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Asian Cup
Laos vs Vietnam
0:2
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Vietnam vs Laos
5:0
Dec 9, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Vietnam
1:4
Dec 21, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Vietnam
0:6
Dec 6, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Vietnam
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Pham Tuan Hai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 10 / 100
Vietnam 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Vietnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Laos scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Vietnam conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Laos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Vietnam
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
Page 1 of 7

Vietnam

(Away)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Vietnam
0 : 0
Singapore
24 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 7
Vietnam
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)