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Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship 2023
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tasmania Northern Championship 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Launceston City U21
22%
Draws
60%
Burnie United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Burnie United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Launceston City U21 have won more games recently than Burnie United.
  • Burnie United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Launceston City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston City U21 Burnie United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 0 3
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
4:3
Mar 28, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
5:1
Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
4:0
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston City U21
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Burnie United
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston City U21 18 / 100
Burnie United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston City U21 Burnie United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnie United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Launceston City U21 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Launceston City U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Launceston City U21 VS Burnie United
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston City U21

(Home)
25 Jul
Launceston City U21
0 : 3
Northern Rangers
18 Jul
Launceston City U21
0 : 1
Ulverstone U21
11 Jul
Northern Rangers
5 : 0
Launceston City U21
27 Jun
Devonport U21
4 : 1
Launceston City U21
20 Jun
Launceston City U21
7 : 0
Launceston United U21
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Burnie United

(Away)
25 Jul
Burnie United
9 : 0
Launceston United U21
18 Jul
Burnie United
0 : 9
Devonport U21
11 Jul
Launceston United U21
3 : 3
Burnie United
04 Jul
Burnie United
1 : 0
Riverside Olympic U21
27 Jun
Burnie United
0 : 6
Northern Rangers
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Somerset21210085:1763
2Northern Rangers21151584:2446
3Ulverstone21132663:4441
4Devonport U2121901242:4927
5Riverside Olympic U2121801346:8524
6Launceston City U2121711352:6122
7Launceston United U2121511530:8216
8Burnie United21311730:7010
Promotion - Tasmania Northern Championship 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tasmania Northern Championship 2023 (Play Offs)