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Launceston City vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Prospect Park, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Reynolds C.
65' Event
Okawa Y.
78' Event
Dupuy G.

AI Match Summary

Launceston City in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Launceston City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Launceston City
15%
Draws
36%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Launceston City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Launceston City lately — more wins on the board than Ulverstone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 20%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston City Ulverstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 3 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Launceston City
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Ulverstone
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Okawa Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reynolds C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston City 31 / 100
Ulverstone 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston City Ulverstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Launceston City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Launceston City scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Ulverstone let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Ulverstone registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston City VS Ulverstone
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Launceston City

(Home)
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
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Ulverstone

(Away)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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