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Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Birch Avenue
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Tebeje S.
9' Event
Badger J.
12' Event
Pitt R.

AI Match Summary

Kingborough Lions in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Launceston United
22%
Draws
60%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kingborough Lions lately — more wins on the board than Launceston United.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Kingborough Lions taking it.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Kingborough Lions have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 1.38 3.63
Goals Conceded 3.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions
1:7
Aug 30, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United
4:0
May 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Kingborough Lions
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Launceston United
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sands A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Badger J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pitt R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United 18 / 100
Kingborough Lions 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United Kingborough Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Launceston United scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Kingborough Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Launceston United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United VS Kingborough Lions
1.38 Goals Scored 3.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%