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Launceston United vs South East United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Birch Avenue
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Krusa G.
18' Event
Sartori S.
27' Event
Matthias C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Launceston United and South East United finished 4-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Launceston United
6%
Draws
4%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Launceston United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Launceston United haven't matched South East United's recent run of results.
  • Launceston United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Launceston United South East United
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.38 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs South East United
4:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Launceston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Krusa G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sands A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

South East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matthias C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Launceston United 83 / 100
South East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Launceston United South East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

South East United let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: South East United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Launceston United scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Launceston United VS South East United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%