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Lautoka vs Ba Prediction & H2H Stats

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Churchill Park, Lautoka
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kautoga V.
26'
Dogalau E.
80'
Nabenu S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lautoka
15%
Draws
61%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Lautoka haven't matched Ba's recent run of results.
  • Ba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Lautoka Clean Sheet 10%
Ba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lautoka Ba
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.06 2.81
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Lautoka
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Lautoka vs Ba
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Lautoka vs Ba
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Lautoka
3:0
Sep 11, 2024 Premier League
Lautoka vs Ba
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lautoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Matarerega R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kautoga V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lautoka 10 / 100
Ba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lautoka Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lautoka found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Ba let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Lautoka stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lautoka VS Ba
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lautoka

(Home)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
14 Aug
Labasa
5 : 3
Lautoka
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
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Ba

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)