Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Laval vs Guingamp

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Sellouki M.
40'
Dago T.
53' Event
Kielt S.
Assist: Sagna A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Laval and Guingamp finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Laval
6%
Draws
4%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Laval

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Laval's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Guingamp have produced (0.43).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Laval taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laval Guingamp
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Guingamp
2:2
Dec 19, 2025 Coupe de France
Guingamp vs Laval
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Laval
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Laval
2:0
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Laval vs Guingamp
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellouki M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Kielt S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samoura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laval 95 / 100
Guingamp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laval Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Guingamp registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Laval found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Guingamp has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Laval VS Guingamp
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Laval

(Home)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Laval
5 : 0
Quevilly
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)