Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Krstovic N.
23'
23'
De Roon M.
47'
47'
Dele-Bashiru F.
Assist: Maldini D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lazio come out ahead of Atalanta on wins alone.
- Model gives Lazio a 42% chance of winning this.
- Lazio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atalanta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lazio Clean Sheet 20%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lazio | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Coppa Italia
Atalanta vs Lazio
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Coppa Italia
Lazio vs Atalanta
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Atalanta
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Lazio
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A
Atalanta vs Lazio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lazio Compare
Top Goalscorer Dele-Bashiru F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dia B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Pasalic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Musah Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lazio 42 / 100
Atalanta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lazio Atalanta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lazio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Atalanta let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Lazio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lazio VS Atalanta
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lazio
(Home) 12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2 AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2 Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1 Lazio
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2 Mantova
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2 AC Milan
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2 Mantova
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0 Ostiamare
01 Aug
Lazio
6 : 3 Avellino
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Atalanta
(Away) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
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05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
08 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3 Atalanta
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Atalanta
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
