Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lazio vs Parma

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Delprato E.
27'
Strefezza G.
32'
Pellegrino M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Lazio and Parma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lazio
28%
Draws
22%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lazio come out ahead of Parma on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Lazio taking it.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lazio Clean Sheet 68%
Parma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lazio Parma
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Parma
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Lazio
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Parma
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie A
Parma vs Lazio
3:1
May 12, 2021 Serie A
Lazio vs Parma
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Noslin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Delprato E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lazio 59 / 100
Parma 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lazio Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lazio found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Parma let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Parma's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lazio VS Parma
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lazio

(Home)
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0
Flaminia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1
Pisa
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3
Inter
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Parma

(Away)
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
17 May
Como
1 : 0
Parma
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)