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LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LDU Portoviejo host Cumbaya in the Serie B. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. LDU Portoviejo have averaged 1.13 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Cumbaya's 1 scored and 0.38 conceded. Head-to-head, LDU Portoviejo have won 0 to Cumbaya's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.75 - 1.00) back Cumbaya to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
LDU Portoviejo
22%
Draws
60%
Cumbaya
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • LDU Portoviejo have won more games recently than Cumbaya.
  • Model gives Cumbaya a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 20%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Cumbaya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo
1:1
Oct 13, 2021 Serie B
Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo
4:3
Jul 4, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya
1:2
Jun 12, 2021 Serie B
Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 20 / 100
Cumbaya 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Cumbaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

LDU Portoviejo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cumbaya has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: LDU Portoviejo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Cumbaya
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
25 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
09 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
04 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
10 Jun
San Antonio
4 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
Page 1 of 6

Cumbaya

(Away)
22 Jul
San Antonio
0 : 0
Cumbaya
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)