Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Gracia A.

AI Match Summary

LDU Portoviejo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
LDU Portoviejo
44%
Draws
20%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Portoviejo lately — more wins on the board than Gualaceo.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 25%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Gualaceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
2:0
Sep 29, 2021 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
1:0
Aug 4, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo
1:1
Jun 20, 2021 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gualaceo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 37 / 100
Gualaceo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LDU Portoviejo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Gualaceo has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: LDU Portoviejo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Gualaceo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
25 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
09 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
04 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
10 Jun
San Antonio
4 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
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Gualaceo

(Away)
24 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Gualaceo
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)