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Le Mans W vs Guingamp W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Chapelle K.
53' Event
Guermazi S.
90' Event
Hoarau F.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Le Mans W and Guingamp W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Le Mans W
15%
Draws
0%
Guingamp W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Mans W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Le Mans W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Mans W Guingamp W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.47 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Guingamp W
3:0
Feb 1, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Le Mans W
0:1
Jan 23, 2011 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Guingamp W
1:2
Oct 10, 2010 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Le Mans W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapelle K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guermazi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Guingamp W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Mans W 95 / 100
Guingamp W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Mans W Guingamp W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Mans W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Guingamp W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Guingamp W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Le Mans W VS Guingamp W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans W

(Home)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
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Guingamp W

(Away)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)