Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Le Puy-en-Velay vs Valenciennes

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Adelaide M.
45' Event
Xhemo R.
Assist: Wade P.
52' Event
Adelaide M.
Assist: Bouleghcha I.

AI Match Summary

Le Puy-en-Velay in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Le Puy-en-Velay
6%
Draws
90%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valenciennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay have won more games recently than Valenciennes.
  • Model gives Valenciennes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 23%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Le Puy-en-Velay Valenciennes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Valenciennes
3:0
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Le Puy-en-Velay
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhemo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adelaide M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Valenciennes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Le Puy-en-Velay 10 / 100
Valenciennes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Le Puy-en-Velay Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Puy-en-Velay scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Valenciennes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Le Puy-en-Velay has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Le Puy-en-Velay VS Valenciennes
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Home)
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
09 May
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 2
Dijon
01 May
Fleury-Merogis
4 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

Valenciennes

(Away)
22 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 3
Valenciennes
18 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Valenciennes
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)