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Leandro N. Alem vs Canuelas

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leandro N. Alem play Canuelas in the Primera C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leandro N. Alem averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Canuelas averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Leandro N. Alem won 1, Canuelas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Leandro N. Alem and 1.25 for Canuelas. This points to a Canuelas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leandro N. Alem
35%
Draws
34%
Canuelas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Canuelas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Leandro N. Alem picked up more points recently compared to Canuelas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 19%
Canuelas Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leandro N. Alem Canuelas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Canuelas
1:1
Apr 11, 2020 Primera C
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem
0:0
Oct 21, 2019 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Canuelas
0:1
Feb 3, 2019 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Canuelas
1:0
Aug 26, 2018 Primera C
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Top Goalscorer Pertossi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Canuelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leandro N. Alem 32 / 100
Canuelas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leandro N. Alem Canuelas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canuelas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leandro N. Alem attacking → ← attacking Canuelas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leandro N. Alem scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Canuelas let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Leandro N. Alem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Canuelas lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 47
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Berazategui1988323:1432
3CSR Espanol1885526:1729
4Estrella Del Sur1877421:1628
5Victoriano Arenas1868416:1126
6Puerto Nuevo1868417:1826
7Mercedes1867518:1025
8CA Lugano1867521:1725
9Leandro N. Alem1865722:3223
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1856718:1921
11Defensores de Cambaceres1956815:2121
12Argentino de Rosario18210618:2316
13Deportivo Paraguayo1937910:2516
14Justo Jose de Urquiza182976:1815
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canuelas1989222:1233
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Leones de Rosario1877418:1628
4Yupanqui1976623:2027
5General Lamadrid1876518:1727
6Sportivo Barracas1874719:1625
7Deportivo Espanol19510416:1425
8El Porvenir19413215:1325
9Atlas1967616:1725
10Central Cordoba (Rosario)1948712:1520
11Claypole1855814:2220
12CSD Central Ballester1854915:2119
13Deportivo Muniz1939714:1718
14Fenix18351010:2014