Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera C

Estrella Del Sur

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leandro N. Alem play Estrella Del Sur in the Primera C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leandro N. Alem averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Estrella Del Sur averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Leandro N. Alem won 1, Estrella Del Sur won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Leandro N. Alem and 0.88 for Estrella Del Sur. This points to a Estrella Del Sur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Leandro N. Alem

29%

Draws

36%

Estrella Del Sur

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Estrella Del Sur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Leandro N. Alem picked up more points recently compared to Estrella Del Sur.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 25%

Estrella Del Sur Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leandro N. Alem	Estrella Del Sur
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	11
Draws	7	10
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.1	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera C

Estrella Del Sur vs Leandro N. Alem

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Mar 1, 2026 Primera C

Leandro N. Alem vs Estrella Del Sur

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristeff M. A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pertossi D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Estrella Del Sur Compare

Top Goalscorer Eseiza J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leandro N. Alem 37 / 100

Estrella Del Sur 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leandro N. Alem Estrella Del Sur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Estrella Del Sur or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leandro N. Alem attacking → ← attacking Estrella Del Sur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leandro N. Alem scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Estrella Del Sur let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Leandro N. Alem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Estrella Del Sur lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 43

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacachispas	18	9	4	5	22:14	31
2	CSR Espanol	18	8	5	5	26:17	29
3	Berazategui	18	7	8	3	22:14	29
4	Estrella Del Sur	18	7	7	4	21:16	28
5	Victoriano Arenas	18	6	8	4	16:11	26
6	Puerto Nuevo	18	6	8	4	17:18	26
7	Mercedes	18	6	7	5	18:10	25
8	CA Lugano	18	6	7	5	21:17	25
9	Leandro N. Alem	18	6	5	7	22:32	23
10	Juventud Unida San Miguel	18	5	6	7	18:19	21
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	18	5	6	7	15:19	21
12	Argentino de Rosario	18	2	10	6	18:23	16
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	18	3	7	8	10:24	16
14	Justo Jose de Urquiza	18	2	9	7	6:18	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Club Lujan	18	9	5	4	22:14	32
2	Canuelas	18	7	9	2	21:12	30
3	Leones de Rosario	18	7	7	4	18:16	28
4	Yupanqui	18	7	6	5	23:19	27
5	General Lamadrid	18	7	6	5	18:17	27
6	Sportivo Barracas	18	7	4	7	19:16	25
7	Deportivo Espanol	18	5	10	3	16:13	25
8	El Porvenir	18	4	12	2	15:13	24
9	Atlas	18	5	7	6	15:17	22
10	Central Cordoba (Rosario)	18	4	8	6	12:14	20
11	Claypole	18	5	5	8	14:22	20
12	CSD Central Ballester	18	5	4	9	15:21	19
13	Deportivo Muniz	18	2	9	7	13:17	15
14	Fenix	18	3	5	10	10:20	14