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Lebanon U17 vs Bahrain U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Lebanon U17 at 1.55 goals for, 1.09 against; Bahrain U17 at 1.68 for, 1.42 against. Past meetings favor Bahrain U17 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2022, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.31) back Bahrain U17 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lebanon U17
30%
Draws
33%
Bahrain U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lebanon U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bahrain U17 have won more games recently than Lebanon U17.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bahrain U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lebanon U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Bahrain U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U17 Bahrain U17
Matches Played 11 19
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U17
Bahrain U17 vs Lebanon U17
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U17 32 / 100
Bahrain U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U17 Bahrain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahrain U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lebanon U17 scored in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Defensive concern: Bahrain U17 conceded in 68% of 19 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U17 VS Bahrain U17
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U17

(Home)
11 Nov
Lebanon U17
2 : 1
Oman U17
08 Nov
Brunei U17
0 : 7
Lebanon U17
28 Nov
India U17
0 : 2
Lebanon U17
26 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 1
Lebanon U17
24 Nov
Lebanon U17
1 : 1
Palestine U17
Page 1 of 3

Bahrain U17

(Away)
11 Nov
Brunei U17
1 : 6
Bahrain U17
08 Nov
Bahrain U17
1 : 1
Kuwait U17
30 Nov
Bahrain U17
10 : 0
Brunei U17
28 Nov
Bangladesh U17
2 : 1
Bahrain U17
26 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
0 : 3
Bahrain U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Indonesia U17 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Philippines U17 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Myanmar U17 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
5 Cambodia U17 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hong Kong U17 2 1 1 0 10:1 4
2 Thailand U17 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U17 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
4 Iraq U17 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Maldives U17 2 0 0 2 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U17 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 United Arab Emirates U17 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Macau U17 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Bangladesh U17 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
5 Bhutan U17 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U17 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Iran U17 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Pakistan U17 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Laos U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Sri Lanka U17 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U17 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 India U17 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Singapore U17 2 1 0 1 8:4 3
4 Malaysia U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Guam U17 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U17 1 1 0 0 12:0 3
2 Yemen U17 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Mongolia U17 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 2 0 0 2 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lebanon U17 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Bahrain U17 2 1 1 0 7:2 4
3 Kuwait U17 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Oman U17 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Brunei U17 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)