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Lebanon vs Yemen

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Asian Cup
Lebanon Logo

Lebanon

0 - 2
FT
Yemen Logo

Yemen

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Matar M.
40'
Anbar O.
45'
Al Gahwashi N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lebanon
15%
Draws
49%
Yemen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yemen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lebanon lately — more wins on the board than Yemen.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Lebanon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yemen, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%
Yemen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon Yemen
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Asian Cup
Lebanon vs Yemen
0:2
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Yemen vs Lebanon
0:0
Aug 8, 2019 WAFF Championship
Yemen vs Lebanon
2:1
Oct 16, 2012 Friendly International
Lebanon vs Yemen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Yemen Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Gahwashi N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon 42 / 100
Yemen 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon Yemen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yemen conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lebanon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lebanon scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon VS Yemen
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon

(Home)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
Page 1 of 7

Yemen

(Away)
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Comoros
5 : 4
Yemen
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)