Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U20 vs Atalanta U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Parmiggiani P.
46'
Sub
Ruiz G. In: Ramaj G.
Out: Ruiz G.
52' Event
Esteban P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Lecce U20 and Atalanta U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lecce U20
30%
Draws
34%
Atalanta U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lecce U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atalanta U20's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Lecce U20 have produced (0.75).
  • Model gives Lecce U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Atalanta U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U20 Atalanta U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Atalanta U20
1:1
Jan 12, 2026 Primavera 1
Atalanta U20 vs Lecce U20
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 Primavera 1
Atalanta U20 vs Lecce U20
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Atalanta U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Atalanta U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U20 35 / 100
Atalanta U20 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U20 Atalanta U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Lecce U20 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Atalanta U20 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Lecce U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U20 VS Atalanta U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U20

(Home)
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0
Fiorentina U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0
Lecce U20
26 Apr
Lecce U20
3 : 2
Verona U20
19 Apr
Inter U20
1 : 0
Lecce U20
Page 1 of 7

Atalanta U20

(Away)
15 May
Juventus U20
3 : 0
Atalanta U20
09 May
Atalanta U20
1 : 0
Monza U20
03 May
Atalanta U20
1 : 2
Fiorentina U20
29 Apr
Atalanta U20
2 : 1
Juventus U20
25 Apr
Torino U20
0 : 0
Atalanta U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2026/2027 (Main)