Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Doumbia A.
29'
29'
Caturano S.
38'
38'
Foggia C.
AI Match Summary
Lecce in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lecce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lecce lately — more wins on the board than Melfi.
- Model gives Lecce a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lecce Clean Sheet 68%
Melfi Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecce | Melfi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Lecce vs Melfi
3:1
Sep 11, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Lecce
1:3
Mar 6, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Lecce vs Melfi
1:1
Oct 24, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Lecce
0:1
Apr 12, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Lecce
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lecce Compare
Top Goalscorer Doumbia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Caturano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Melfi Compare
Top Goalscorer Foggia C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecce 86 / 100
Melfi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecce Melfi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lecce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Melfi conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Lecce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Lecce scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Lecce VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecce
(Home) 23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2 Lecce
17 Aug
Palermo
2 : 0 Lecce
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0 Monopoli
29 Jul
Lecce
5 : 2 Bistrica
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2 Istra 1961
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0 Monopoli
29 Jul
Lecce
5 : 2 Bistrica
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2 Istra 1961
22 Jul
Lecce
0 : 1 Politehnica Timisoara
24 May
Lecce
1 : 0 Genoa
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Melfi
(Away) 28 May
Akragas
1 : 1 Melfi
21 May
Melfi
0 : 0 Akragas
07 May
Melfi
0 : 3 Matera
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0 Melfi
23 Apr
Melfi
1 : 0 Taranto
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28 May
Akragas
1 : 1 Melfi
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0 Melfi
15 Apr
ACR Messina
3 : 4 Melfi
09 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1 Melfi
01 Apr
Reggina
2 : 1 Melfi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Foggia | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:29 | 85 |
| 2 | Lecce | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:36 | 74 |
| 3 | Matera | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 71:44 | 65 |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:43 | 64 |
| 5 | Virtus Francavilla | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:45 | 57 |
| 6 | Siracusa | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 57 |
| 7 | Cosenza | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Paganese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 9 | Casertana | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 38:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Fondi | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Catania | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:36 | 47 |
| 12 | Fidelis Andria | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 30:33 | 47 |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 44:54 | 45 |
| 14 | ACR Messina | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 44 |
| 15 | Monopoli | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42:54 | 42 |
| 16 | Akragas | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 30:47 | 39 |
| 17 | Vibonese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 27:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 36:49 | 38 |
| 19 | Melfi | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 38:68 | 34 |
| 20 | Taranto | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 25:49 | 30 |
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
