Sport Picks
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Poland
Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Przybyl J.
52'
52'
Prochwicz L.
56'
56'
Konat K.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Lech-UAM Poznan W and AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech-UAM Poznan W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lech-UAM Poznan W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W come out ahead of Lech-UAM Poznan W on wins alone.
- Model gives Lech-UAM Poznan W a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 20%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lech-UAM Poznan W | AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.88 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Club Friendly Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Przybyl J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prochwicz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare
Top Goalscorer Konat K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lech-UAM Poznan W 42 / 100
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lech-UAM Poznan W AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech-UAM Poznan W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Lech-UAM Poznan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lech-UAM Poznan W VS AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lech-UAM Poznan W
(Home) 11 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
2 : 2 Lech-UAM Poznan W
30 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
2 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1 Lech-UAM Poznan W
20 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 4 GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1 UKS SMS Lodz W
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
2 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
20 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 4 GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1 UKS SMS Lodz W
25 Apr
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 3 Leczna W
21 Apr
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 5 GKS Katowice W
Page 1 of 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
(Away) 18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1 Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3 Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
25 Apr
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
1 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
25 Mar
Pogon Szczecin W
3 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 68:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Pogon Szczecin W | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 60:18 | 51 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice W | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 51:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Leczna W | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 49:20 | 47 |
| 5 | UKS SMS Lodz W | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:35 | 29 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 29:34 | 28 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:33 | 26 |
| 8 | Lech-UAM Poznan W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29:46 | 26 |
| 9 | UJ Krakow W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26:37 | 24 |
| 10 | AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 24:45 | 23 |
| 11 | Stomilanki Olsztyn W | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 23:70 | 11 |
| 12 | Pogon Tczew W | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15:66 | 7 |
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
