Sport Picks
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Poland
Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk 
Match Events
8'
8'
Gorski B.
38'
38'
Jaron D.
Assist: Ciepiela B.
43'
43'
Sub
Konstantyn J. In: Niski N.
Out: Konstantyn J.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Lechia Gdansk and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lechia Gdansk come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki taking it.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 12%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0:3
Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk
0:1
Sep 24, 2024 Polish Cup
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lechia Gdansk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaron D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korczakowski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lechia Gdansk 22 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lechia Gdansk Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Lechia Gdansk remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lechia Gdansk VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lechia Gdansk
(Home) 18 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 2 Randers FC
04 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
27 Jun
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 5 Petrolul
23 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
3 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
17 May
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 Legia
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 2 Randers FC
04 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
27 Jun
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 5 Petrolul
17 May
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 Legia
25 Apr
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
Page 1 of 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
(Away) 18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
04 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27 Jun
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
24 May
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
11 May
Odra Opole
3 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | LKS Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Podbeskidzie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ruch Chorzow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Legnica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Puszcza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Chrobry Glogow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Warta Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Odra Opole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)