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Leczna W vs UKS SMS Lodz W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leczna W play UKS SMS Lodz W in the Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026. Leczna W are favorites here. Recently, Leczna W averaged 2.37 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. UKS SMS Lodz W averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Leczna W won 3, UKS SMS Lodz W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Leczna W and 1.44 for UKS SMS Lodz W. This points to a Leczna W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Leczna W
18%
Draws
26%
UKS SMS Lodz W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Leczna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Leczna W picked up more points recently compared to UKS SMS Lodz W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Leczna W Clean Sheet 16%
UKS SMS Lodz W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leczna W UKS SMS Lodz W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.37 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Leczna W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
1:0
Feb 13, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Leczna W vs UKS SMS Lodz W
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
UKS SMS Lodz W vs Leczna W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leczna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pietakiewicz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lefeld K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UKS SMS Lodz W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leczna W 54 / 100
UKS SMS Lodz W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leczna W UKS SMS Lodz W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leczna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Leczna W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leczna W attacking → ← attacking UKS SMS Lodz W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leczna W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

UKS SMS Lodz W let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leczna W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UKS SMS Lodz W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 44
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667