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Leek Town vs Stockton

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Leek Town and Stockton finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Leek Town
35%
Draws
23%
Stockton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stockton come out ahead of Leek Town on wins alone.
  • Leek Town are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 20%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leek Town Stockton
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Stockton
0:0
Dec 2, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Leek Town
1:2
Jan 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Leek Town
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Stockton
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leek Town 58 / 100
Stockton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leek Town Stockton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leek Town went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Leek Town's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stockton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Leek Town VS Stockton
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leek Town

(Home)
31 Jul
Leek Town
1 : 1
Runcorn Linnets
25 Jul
Stalybridge
1 : 1
Leek Town
21 Jul
Kidsgrove Athletic
0 : 1
Leek Town
14 Jul
Leek Town
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Apr
Workington
0 : 1
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

Stockton

(Away)
14 Jul
Stockton
1 : 3
Darlington FC
28 Apr
Hednesford
2 : 0
Stockton
25 Apr
Warrington Rylands
1 : 2
Stockton
21 Apr
United of Manchester
1 : 1
Stockton
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)