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Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Grazis A.
Assist: Bokans E.
37' Event
Baturinskis A.
57' Event
Baumanis R.

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leevon PPK
15%
Draws
42%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Leevon PPK.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK Riga Mariners
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.9 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Riga Mariners
2:3
Apr 19, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Leevon PPK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturinskis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baumanis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 30 / 100
Riga Mariners 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leevon PPK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Leevon PPK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Riga Mariners has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS Riga Mariners
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

Riga Mariners

(Away)
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 19 15 3 1 56:18 48
2 FK Metta 19 15 3 1 79:16 48
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 19 13 5 1 45:17 44
5 Alberts JDFS 19 11 4 4 40:26 37
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
8 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 JFK Ventspils 18 2 6 10 20:33 12
12 Tukums 2000 2 18 3 3 12 23:54 12
13 FK Smiltene 19 2 4 13 23:56 10
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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