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Lefkimmi vs Kastoria

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 game between Lefkimmi and Kastoria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Lefkimmi
15%
Draws
20%
Kastoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kastoria haven't matched Lefkimmi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lefkimmi a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 68%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lefkimmi Kastoria
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.51 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Lefkimmi vs Kastoria
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Lefkimmi
1:1
Mar 24, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Kastoria vs Lefkimmi
0:3
Dec 10, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Kastoria
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 95 / 100
Kastoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lefkimmi Kastoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lefkimmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lefkimmi scored in 73% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Kastoria conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Lefkimmi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lefkimmi VS Kastoria
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lefkimmi

(Home)
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
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Kastoria

(Away)
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
14 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Zakynthos
07 Apr
Magnisiakos
0 : 3
Kastoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethnikos Neou 34 24 6 4 57:18 78
2 Nea Artaki 34 23 7 4 62:19 76
3 Svoronos FC 34 21 9 4 63:23 72
4 Zakynthos 34 16 10 8 50:30 58
5 Pierikos 34 16 7 11 49:27 55
6 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 6 12 35:33 54
7 Kileler 34 15 8 11 36:22 53
8 Asteras Stavrou 34 15 7 12 38:35 52
9 Thesprotos 34 16 4 14 54:45 52
10 AO Trikala 34 14 10 10 49:37 52
11 Asteras Petriti 34 15 5 14 36:38 50
12 Eordaikos 34 13 11 10 39:30 50
13 Thyella Katsikas 34 13 9 12 49:32 48
14 Lefkimmi 34 9 6 19 37:51 33
15 Kastoria 34 9 6 19 35:52 33
16 Vataniakos 34 8 7 19 36:67 31
17 Fikis 33 2 1 30 12:90 -8
18 Magnisiakos 33 0 1 32 1:89 -14
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)