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Lefkimmi vs Lamia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Lefkimmi and Lamia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lefkimmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lefkimmi
35%
Draws
31%
Lamia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lefkimmi come out ahead of Lamia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lefkimmi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 19%
Lamia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lefkimmi Lamia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 15
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Lamia
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lamia vs Lefkimmi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 36 / 100
Lamia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lefkimmi Lamia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Lefkimmi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lefkimmi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lamia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lefkimmi VS Lamia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lefkimmi

(Home)
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
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Lamia

(Away)
08 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Lamia
05 Apr
Lamia
1 : 1
Elassona
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
Lamia
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)