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Lefkimmi vs Nea Selefkia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Lefkimmi and Nea Selefkia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lefkimmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lefkimmi
30%
Draws
31%
Nea Selefkia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lefkimmi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lefkimmi here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 18%
Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lefkimmi Nea Selefkia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 13
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Nea Selefkia
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Nea Selefkia
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Nea Selefkia vs Lefkimmi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 32 / 100
Nea Selefkia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lefkimmi Nea Selefkia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Lefkimmi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lefkimmi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nea Selefkia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lefkimmi VS Nea Selefkia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lefkimmi

(Home)
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

Nea Selefkia

(Away)
08 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
0 : 3
Nea Selefkia
05 Apr
Nea Selefkia
0 : 0
Anthoupoli
01 Apr
Anagennisi Schimatariou
2 : 2
Nea Selefkia
28 Mar
Nea Selefkia
1 : 0
Proodos Rogon
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)