Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legia vs Widzew Lodz

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Augustyniak R.
Assist: Vinagre R.
21' Event
Piatkowski K.
Own Goal
44'
Swiderski K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Legia
35%
Draws
22%
Widzew Lodz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Widzew Lodz haven't matched Legia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Legia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Legia Clean Sheet 19%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Widzew Lodz
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Widzew Lodz
1:1
May 1, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Widzew Lodz
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Legia
1:1
May 15, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Legia
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Widzew Lodz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Augustyniak R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Widzew Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 42 / 100
Widzew Lodz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Widzew Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Legia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Widzew Lodz let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Widzew Lodz
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
28 Aug
Legia
1 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
22 Aug
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1
Legia
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Widzew Lodz

(Away)
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1
Korona Kielce
30 Aug
Widzew Lodz
2 : 3
Lech Poznan
22 Aug
Slask Wroclaw
3 : 3
Widzew Lodz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)