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Legia vs Wisla Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legia host Wisla in the Ekstraklasa. This one's hard to separate. Wisla have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Legia have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Legia slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2022, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Legia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Legia
20%
Draws
45%
Wisla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wisla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Legia have won more games recently than Wisla.
  • Wisla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Legia Clean Sheet 16%
Wisla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Wisla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.8 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Wisla
2:1
Aug 29, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Legia
1:0
May 1, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Wisla
0:0
Dec 12, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Legia
1:2
Jun 7, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Legia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 28 / 100
Wisla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Wisla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wisla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legia scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Wisla has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Legia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Wisla
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
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Wisla

(Away)
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
26 Sept
Dalin Myslenice
0 : 4
Wisla
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)