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Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lasn O.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Luts R.
25' Event
Seimoja T.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Legion and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Legion
6%
Draws
90%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Legion haven't matched Tallinna Kalev U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 5.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
5:1
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
1:2
Sep 14, 2019 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
0:1
Jul 26, 2019 Esiliiga
Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolodchuk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luts R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seimoja T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Tallinna Kalev U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Legion found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Legion stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Tallinna Kalev U21
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2118112552:3635
2Tulevik18111655:3734
3Narva U2117102543:2632
4Parnu JK Vaprus U2118102654:3832
5Johvi Phoenix18101745:4531
6Levadia U191892744:3329
7Tabasalu18801031:5024
8Tartu Kalev18711039:4022
9Tallinna Kalev U2118421237:4214
10Legion17211414:677