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Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lasn O.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Luts R.
25' Event
Seimoja T.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Legion and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Legion
15%
Draws
73%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Legion haven't matched Tallinna Kalev U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.86 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.72 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
3:3
Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
5:1
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
1:2
Sep 14, 2019 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolodchuk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luts R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seimoja T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tallinna Kalev U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Legion's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Tallinna Kalev U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
3 Levadia U19 29 17 2 10 74:52 53
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 29 15 4 10 74:59 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)