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Legnano vs Pro Palazzolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Arras D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Legnano and Pro Palazzolo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Palazzolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Legnano
20%
Draws
34%
Pro Palazzolo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Palazzolo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Legnano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Legnano Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Palazzolo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Pro Palazzolo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Pro Palazzolo
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Pro Palazzolo vs Legnano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Pro Palazzolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arras D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 50 / 100
Pro Palazzolo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Pro Palazzolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legnano scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Legnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pro Palazzolo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pro Palazzolo has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pro Palazzolo
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnano

(Home)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
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Pro Palazzolo

(Away)
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)