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Leighton Town vs Worcester Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Wise C.
63' Event
Ibie S.
73' Event
McCelland A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Leighton Town and Worcester finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leighton Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Leighton Town
20%
Draws
80%
Worcester
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Worcester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Worcester come out ahead of Leighton Town on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 17%
Worcester Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leighton Town Worcester
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leighton Town vs Worcester
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leighton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibie S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCelland A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Worcester Compare

Top Goalscorer Wise C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leighton Town 36 / 100
Worcester 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leighton Town Worcester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worcester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leighton Town found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Worcester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Worcester registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leighton Town VS Worcester
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leighton Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 0
Leighton Town
26 Sept
Newmarket
2 : 1
Leighton Town
12 Sept
Halesowen
4 : 2
Leighton Town
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
31 Aug
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leighton Town
Page 1 of 6

Worcester

(Away)
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2
Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0
Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1
Stratford
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0
Worcester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
7 Rushall 9 5 0 4 16:14 15
8 Needham Market 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
9 Peterborough Sports 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Stourbridge 8 2 4 2 9:11 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Racing Club Warwick 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
16 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
17 Hitchin 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Leamington 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 8 1 2 5 10:16 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)