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Leioa vs Ordizia

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
Leioa Logo

Leioa

1 - 1
FT
Ordizia Logo

Ordizia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Leioa
35%
Draws
28%
Ordizia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leioa lately — more wins on the board than Ordizia.
  • Leioa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leioa Clean Sheet 20%
Ordizia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leioa Ordizia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Ordizia
1:1
Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Ordizia vs Leioa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leioa 85 / 100
Ordizia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leioa Ordizia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leioa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Ordizia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leioa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leioa VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leioa

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

Ordizia

(Away)
18 May
Ordizia
2 : 2
Sestao
11 May
Somorrostro
7 : 0
Ordizia
05 May
Ordizia
1 : 2
SD Deusto
27 Apr
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Ordizia
18 Apr
Ordizia
0 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)