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Lenart vs Smarje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Lenart Logo

Lenart

1 - 0
FT
Smarje Logo

Smarje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 game between Lenart and Smarje finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lenart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lenart
15%
Draws
42%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lenart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lenart come out ahead of Smarje on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lenart a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lenart Clean Sheet 19%
Smarje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenart Smarje
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.23 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2017 3. SNL - North
Lenart vs Smarje
1:0
Aug 19, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Lenart
2:0
Apr 15, 2017 3. SNL - North
Lenart vs Smarje
4:0
Sep 24, 2016 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Lenart
4:1
Mar 19, 2016 3. SNL - North
Lenart vs Smarje
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenart 85 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenart Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smarje let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lenart scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Smarje has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smarje
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenart

(Home)
27 May
Dravograd
6 : 0
Lenart
19 May
Lenart
1 : 3
Sampion Celje
16 May
Lenart
1 : 2
Dobrovce
12 May
Lenart
3 : 2
Zrece
09 May
Dravinja
3 : 1
Lenart
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Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)