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Lenense vs Gijon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Lussenhoff F.

AI Match Summary

Gijon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gijon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lenense
20%
Draws
47%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gijon B lately — more wins on the board than Lenense.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gijon B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lenense Clean Sheet 15%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Gijon B
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.12 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Gijon B
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lenense
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Lenense
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Gijon B
0:5
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Gijon B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gijon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lussenhoff F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 31 / 100
Gijon B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Gijon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lenense found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lenense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gijon B has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS Gijon B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
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Gijon B

(Away)
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
18 Aug
Gijon B
2 : 2
Llanera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)