Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens

0 - 2

PSG

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Kvaratskhelia K.

Assist: Dembele O.

45'

Zabarnyi I.

46'

Sub

Barcola B. In: Vitinha

Out: Barcola B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PSG in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Lens

33%

Draws

27%

PSG

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

PSG have won more games recently than Lens.
40% — that's where the model lands on Lens taking it.
Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and PSG have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Lens Clean Sheet 12%

PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lens	PSG
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	22	23
Draws	3	4
Losses	5	7
Goals Scored	2.25	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1

Lens vs PSG

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sep 14, 2025 Ligue 1

PSG vs Lens

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Jan 18, 2025 Ligue 1

Lens vs PSG

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Dec 22, 2024 Coupe de France

Lens vs PSG

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1

PSG vs Lens

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

PSG Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvaratskhelia K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mbaye I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 38 / 100

PSG 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lens PSG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Lens remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

PSG has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS PSG

2.25 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17