Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Giovane L.
32'
32'
Nanni L.
(Penalty)
74'
74'
Mascanzoni M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Lentigione and SCD Progresso finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Progresso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lentigione come out ahead of SCD Progresso on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Lentigione here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 18%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lentigione | SCD Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs SCD Progresso
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Lentigione
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs SCD Progresso
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Lentigione
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs SCD Progresso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lentigione Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Giovane L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mascanzoni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lentigione 32 / 100
SCD Progresso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lentigione SCD Progresso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lentigione scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
SCD Progresso let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Lentigione remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lentigione VS SCD Progresso
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lentigione
(Home) 06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0 Tuttocuoio
Page 1 of 4
SCD Progresso
(Away) 06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
22 Mar
Piacenza
3 : 0 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
