Sport Picks
Leones Negros 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 
Match Events
11'
11'
Morales F.
22'
22'
Castro Garcia W. D.
80'
80'
Sepulveda J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A game between Leones Negros 2 and Mineros de Fresnillo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones Negros 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leones Negros 2 come out ahead of Mineros de Fresnillo on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Mineros de Fresnillo taking it.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones Negros 2 | Mineros de Fresnillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros 2
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros 2
1:5
Feb 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros 2
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Negros 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sepulveda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Mineros de Fresnillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro Garcia W. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leones Negros 2 11 / 100
Mineros de Fresnillo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leones Negros 2 Mineros de Fresnillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Leones Negros 2 scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Mineros de Fresnillo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Leones Negros 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leones Negros 2 VS Mineros de Fresnillo
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leones Negros 2
(Home) 18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2 Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0 Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2 Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1 Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2 Celaya
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1 Guerreros de Autlan
07 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1 Cimarrones de Sonora
21 Feb
Leones Negros 2
3 : 0 Zapotlanejo
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Mineros de Fresnillo
(Away) 19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1 Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2 Reboceros de La Piedad
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0 Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
11 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0 Mineros de Fresnillo
08 Mar
Los Cabos United
3 : 2 Mineros de Fresnillo
21 Feb
Tritones Vallarta
2 : 0 Mineros de Fresnillo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
