Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Venados FC
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Leones Negros in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones Negros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Venados FC have won more games recently than Leones Negros.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Venados FC taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones Negros | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Negros Compare
Venados FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Venados FC conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Leones Negros scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Leones Negros remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Leones Negros
(Home)Venados FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlante | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 26:24 | 21 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Venados FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 29:30 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 25:30 | 17 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:35 | 10 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:26 | 5 |