Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa B vs Villaralbo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Garcia L.
30' Event
Vasquez D.
57' Event
Choco A.

AI Match Summary

Villaralbo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villaralbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Leonesa B
15%
Draws
26%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leonesa B lately — more wins on the board than Villaralbo.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Leonesa B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa B Villaralbo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Villaralbo
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Leonesa B
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Villaralbo
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Leonesa B
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Villaralbo
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Choco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villaralbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa B 59 / 100
Villaralbo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa B Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Leonesa B scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Villaralbo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Leonesa B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa B VS Villaralbo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa B

(Home)
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
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Villaralbo

(Away)
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1
Colegios Diocesanos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)